Premier League predictions and best bets: Liverpool suffer title slip at Nottingham Forest | Football news

Our football betting expert Jones Knows believes Nottingham Forest are underrated as Liverpool face a tough test on Tuesday night.

Brentford vs Manchester City, Tuesday 7.30pm

Analyzing whether Manchester City are indeed “back” shows you how important it is to consider performance metrics and underlying numbers behind results when trying to find value in the betting markets.

Don’t be fooled by three wins and 14 goals scored. This City side remain hopelessly out of possession – possibly the worst team in the Premier League on that front – and have been very lucky to concede a goal in their last three games. Salford, of Sky Bet League Two, managed to collect 10 shots and almost an expected goal on Saturday.

Brentford possess the dangerous and direct forwards to make City pay for their poor pressing structure and Yoane Wissa, who scored Brentford’s opening goal in the reverse fixture, can add to his seven goals at home this season. 2/1 on him scoring anytime with Sky Bet is a great price.

Score prediction: 2-2 | JONES KNOWS BEST EFFORT: Yoane Wissa scores (2/1 with Sky Bet)

Chelsea vs Bournemouth, Tuesday 7.30pm

The physicality through the middle has faltered Chelsea in recent weeks. Liam Delap grabbed a brace for Ipswich before Jean-Philippe Mateta brought Crystal Palace level in their latest Premier League outing, which extended Chelsea’s winless run to four games in the league.

Bournemouth have grown this season under Andoni Iraola and have broken their mental block of not being able to beat the big boys of Man City, Arsenal, Man Utd and Tottenham this season. I’m happy to invest in them getting a result with Dango Ouattara, who looks set to lead the line after his weekend double and injuries to Evanilson and Enes Unal, who can register a goal or an assist. If you place it through the BuildABet feature, you can get a 15/4 shot with Sky Bet.

Score prediction: 1-1

West Ham vs Fulham, Tuesday 7.30pm

Graham Potter has a history of getting a reaction from players when he takes over a job, winning his first game in charge at Ostersunds, Swansea and Brighton and going 10 unbeaten through the first 10 games of his Chelsea tenure.

Yes, he officially started in an FA Cup defeat at Aston Villa, but for much of that encounter the Hammers looked in complete control of the game after their early goal from Lucas Paqueta. I’m willing to invest in Potter getting up and running quickly. And Paqueta is just the kind of player Potter can work his magic with. His shot-on-goal price of 7/4 with Sky Bet stands out.

Score prediction: 2-1

Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool, Tuesday at

Liverpool at 8/13 with Sky Bet feels a little disrespectful to Nottingham Forest, who will make this a very tough night for Arne Slott’s men. Would a point be a bad result for the away team? I think Slot would take it right now.

In what is likely to be an intense clash under the City Ground lights, Trent Alexander-Arnold could be out with a point to prove after his sloppy and sour performance in the 2-2 draw against Manchester United. His tackle numbers interest me based on his average this season under Slot, which currently stands at 2.8 per game.

He has made three or more tackles in eight of his last 15 Premier League starts, including four in the reverse fixture at Anfield. He is an odds-on price of 5/4 with Sky Bet to make three or more tackles.

Score prediction: 1-1

Jones Knows’ best bet…

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