Top 3 NBA Bets and Player Props for Warriors at Kings

On January 23, 2025By Littum

Even within a single NBA game, the betting markets are plentiful.

You can bet on traditional markets like the spread or total, but we also have tons of player support markets to look through.

Which bets stand out today as Golden State Warriors is facing Sacramento Kings?

Let’s dig into the best bets in FanDuel Sportsbook’s NBA betting oddsusing FanDuel Research’s NBA projections to try to find value.

Warriors at Kings Betting Picks

Kings over 118.5 points (-115)

After a slow start at 13-19 Sacramento Kings has ripped off 9 wins over the last 10. Over that span, the Kings have averaged 122.1 points per game. game (PPG) compared to their season average of 116.7 PPG (seventh most).

This is already one of the league’s most productive attacks with the 13th best offensive assessment and the 14th fastest adjusted pace of play. Plus, they are efficient with the 13th highest effective field goal percentage (eFG%). With the 7th most field goal attempts per game, pace won’t be an issue in this one as the Warriors have the 11th fastest pace while also attempting the 6th most shots per game. competition. We could take part in a track meet tonight — hence 230 points in total.

If the field goal attempts are there, over 118.5 points for Sacramento looks like the best bet among the betting lines. Golden State has a meh defense with the 15th best rating. The two met on January 5th and the Kings shredded the Warriors for 129 points while shooting 51.7% from the field.

In the previous head-to-head game, the Warriors managed to hold Sacramento to 42 points in the paint. This carries even more weight than usual, with the Kings posting 53.3 points in the paint per game. game over the previous three (season average is 48.4).

However, this does not put Golden State in the clear. Sacramento has shot 37.0% from three over the last five (34.9% this season) and was 19 of 43 from deep (44.2%) in the last meeting against the Warriors. While Golden State is limiting opponents to the 2nd-lowest shooting percentage around the rim, it is also giving up the 11th-highest shooting percentage from three (per Dunks & Threes). Led by improved shooting from three, the Kings have the tools to go over 118.5 points.

number Four’s NBA projections Sacramento has reached 119.2 points.

Malik Monk gets more than 20 points (+105)

The Kings’ three-point offense was a big part of our top pick. That said, backing up one of Sacramento’s most potent three-point shooters makes a lot of sense.

Malik monk leads the team with 2.4 three-point attempts and 7.0 three-point attempts per match. He has been above his season average of 3.0 three-pointers per game. competition over his last seven outings. Our NBA DFS Projections also gives Monk the most expected threes for the Kings tonight (2.8).

Monk to make 3+ threes (-125) is an exciting pick, but reaching 20 points has even better value (+105) in my eyes. Sacramento’s guard has enjoyed a stunning start to the new year, recording 23.6 PPG compared to his season-long average of 17.6 PPG. We mentioned the Kings’ surging offense last episode, and Monk’s increased production has been an important cog in the cog.

Even Monk’s usage is up this month at 18.3 shots per game. game compared to 14.3 field goal attempts per competition throughout the season.

His primary defender will likely be Dennis Schroderalso. Among qualifying players is Schroder (115.3 defensive assessment) has the second-highest defensive rating on the Warriors.

With Monk reaching 20+ points in seven of his last eight games, getting plus odds on him is appealing.

Stephen Curry makes 5+ threes (-105)

So far, we’ve focused primarily on the Kings’ offense against the Warriors’ defense. But what about on the other side of the field? Golden State’s offense always requires some attention, especially when Stephen Curry is on the floor.

The Warriors have the 9th best offensive rating, while Sacramento has a mediocre defensive rating (14th). As usual, Golden State loves the three ball with the seventh highest shooting distribution from deep. In addition, the Warriors make the fifth most threes and attempt the third most threes per game. game. Meanwhile, the Kings are giving up the fourth-highest three-point shooting percentage and the fourth-most three-pointers per game. match.

Curry is the best target we can get when it comes to shooting the three. As usual, he leads Golden State with 10.8 three-point shots and 4.4 three-point makes per contest. over eight appearances in January, he has increased those numbers to 11.9 attempts per competition and 5.1 brands per match.

Our DFS projections have Curry making the most threes (5.0) across Wednesday’s board. The Warriors will likely shoot threes in bulk against the Kings’ shaky perimeter defense, and Curry’s latest numbers point to a big game from three today.

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The above writer is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports bets on FanDuel. The advice given by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author’s advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports bets.