Groundhog Day Prognosis 2025 | Weather.com

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  • Punxsutawney Phil makes its annual prediction on Sunday morning.
  • The prognosis requires cloudy sky, which does not favor any shadow vision and an early start to spring, according to the legend.
  • But the story shows a shadow observation, and six weeks more in winter it is more likely result.

Everyone is waiting on the edge of their seats on Sunday morning, when the notorious Groundhog forecast, Punxsutawney Phil, according to the legend, will predict whether the spring is around the corner, or whether we should tread for six weeks more in the winter.

Unfortunately, the famous rodent does not predict his own big day – so you are stuck with us.

Here’s the forecast for Sunday Morning: Cloudy conditions and cool temperatures in the mid -20s are expected in Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania, when Phil makes its prediction around 10 pm. 07.08 et.

This is good news for those tired of the brutal winter we’ve seen this year. The lack of direct sunlight as a result of the cloudy sky would suggest that Phil will unlikely to see his shade and we are heading for an early start to spring.

But if Groundhog sees his shadow, there will be six weeks more in winter rather than above average temperatures, according to the legend.

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Prognosis for KL. 7 Sunday morning in Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania

To see or not see? Seeing his shadow is more likely. Punxsutawney Phil has seen his shadow about five times more often than he has not done, based on historical items. Last year, however, did not fall into line with the norm.

Phil has now seen its shadow 107 times without shade 21 times (10 years of data is missing), According to items from NOAA that goes back to 1887.

Should meteorologists be concerned about Phil’s forecasts skill? The answer – fortunately – is no. Generally, Groundhog is not very accurate and NOAA said that Punxsutawney Phil has “No predictable skill

Even the organizers of the annual Groundhog Day event in western Pennsylvania acknowledge that turning to a big rodent for weather forecasts is mostly a way To break the winter monotony up.

Phil’s accuracy was only 35% f Rom 2005 to 2024, According to data prepared by NOAA.

Last year’s statement of an early spring, however, was a fairly accurate prediction. Much of the country so above average temperatures, including Phil’s hometown -State, in February and March.

According to the recent prospects of the weather company and atmospheric G2, warmer than average temperatures is expected to invade much of the United States for the rest of the winter and early spring this year. So we’ll see if Phil agrees.

The Groundhog Club Handler AJ DEREUME holds Punxsutawney Phil during the 138th celebration of Groundhog Day on Gobbler's dial in Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania, Friday 2. February 2024. (AP Photo/Barry Reeger)The Groundhog Club Handler AJ DEREUME holds Punxsutawney Phil during the 138th celebration of Groundhog Day on Gobbler's dial in Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania, Friday 2. February 2024. (AP Photo/Barry Reeger)

The Groundhog Club Handler AJ DEREUME holds Punxsutawney Phil during the 138th celebration of Groundhog Day on Gobbler’s dial in Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania, Friday 2. February 2024.

(AP Photo/Barry Reeger)

Here’s when Groundhog Day began: The first mention of Groundhog -Day came in 1886 in Punxsutawney.

Over the years, several other placements have begun to use their own Groundhog, including General Bearategard Lee from Atlanta, Dunkirk Dave from Dunkirk, New York and Jimmy from Sun Prairie, Wisconsin.

C Aitlin Kaiser graduated from the Georgia Institute of Technology with both a bachelor’s and master’s degree in the earth and atmospheric sciences before starting her career as a digital meteorologist with Weather.com.