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By Weather.com Meteorologists
20 hours ago
- An updated February views are warmer in the east and south than what happened in January.
- Early in the month, the episent of Cold Cold will be from the northwest to the northern plains.
- But a potential pattern change later in the month could change the cold one elsewhere.
F E February’s temperature forecast looks very different from January’s persistent cold, but there is a late -month wild wild cards that can change it, according to an updated view released Friday by Weather Company and atmospheric G2.
H ow February looks: For the month as a whole, most of the east and south are expected to be hotter than average, especially from the middle Atlantic and southeast to coast and southern Texas. However, a colder February is expected in northwestern, Northern Rockies and Northern Plains.
Since the card is a unified snapshot for all 28 days of the month, it masks some notable weeks of oscillations for the week, which we will discuss later.
The temperature prospects in February 2025 per 31 January. The colors of the map indicate areas with gradually above average (oranges, maroon, pink) and below average (blue, purple, pink) temperatures predicted for the month in general.
(AG2/TWC)
H ow Month Temperatures Can Develop:
- February should generally start colder from the northwest to the northern plains and occasionally into the large lakes and northeast when some cold air in western Canada sweeps over the northern level. Meanwhile, the country’s southern level should be warmer than usual for this time of year.
- However, a pattern change that can happen around the middle of the month, according to Todd Crawford, vice president of meteorology at atmospheric G2.
- “On the way into the back half of February, this represents a colder risk with a low probability,” said Crawford, referring to the influence of this potential pattern change on temperatures in the east and south.
How the pattern change could make it colder later in February: Patterns of the jet stream, including sharp south, throw themselves and domes with high pressure, help control storm systems that either deliver or deflate cold air.
From the time this article was published, C Reviewer-forecasting models suggested that a dome of high pressure known as a Greenland block could be formed in the middle of the month. When that happens, the jet stream is forced to take a nose to the south across the eastern United States and deliver more sustained cold there.
A T At the same time, a positive phase of the American pattern in the Pacific North could move another dome of high pressure near or right on the west coast.
If this pattern change happens, it can move the country to a warm west – cold east and south scenarios until the end of February. So it may be a good idea to enjoy your thaw in February early in the month while you can.
Jet stream pattern in the positive phase of the North American pattern in the Pacific.
C Old January: This February forecast looks quite different from January, as the card below of January Temperature Anomalies (through the 27th) shows.
It was a CCORDING for AG2’s Todd Crawford, it was America’s coldest January since 2014, it’s January, when the “Polar Vortex” first entered into Pop Culture Lexicon.
The month contained four large winter storms in less than three weeks, starting with Winter Storm Blair and punctured by the historic Gulf Coast Winter Storm Enzo.
This map shows how far above and below average temperatures were in the first 27 days of January 2025, the latest available data at the time the article was published in degrees Celsius.
(NOAA/PSL)
