Online requirements for Canada, which cuts all energy exports to us, is misleading | Facts control

A few viral positions on social media claim that Canada is planning to ban all energy exports to the United States that starts next month. The claim is misleading. While a reduced stream of oil, gas and electricity – combined with retaliatory warehouses – has been floated as a possible response to US President Donald Trump’s customs threats, there is no plan on this completely.

A 25th January post On the X -Platform, formerly known as Twitter, says: “Canada plans to fight Trump’s tariffs by cutting off all energy supplies to the United States in February.” A second post Of another account makes the same claim words for words.

Between them, the two positions received about 13.8 million views from the publication.

Assessment: Misleading

Canada has not landed on a concrete plan to fight the wild tariffs that could be imposed as early as Saturday. The federal government is building a Bailout package to help workers and businesses whose US tariffs – threatened by 25 percent everywhere – comes down. But the extent of the relief depends on the extent of the customs, said Finance Minister Dominic Leblanc.

“We are not sitting on a plan in Ottawa, which, like the original reaction to some scenario, seems to set export restrictions on oil and gas. Any conversation as it would be much, much as a last resort, where the country simply had no other reasonable way to get Americans to understand that their political decision was negative for the US economy, ”he said CBC’s.”West of the center“Radio show Tuesday.

“There has been a lot of wrong information in this room.”

However, some politicians have suggested to stop energy exports to the United States.

Ontario Premier Doug Ford said In December, the province would cut off energy currently flowing into Michigan, New York and Wisconsin if the tax comes into force. The province ran 1.5 million homes in the US in 2023, according to Ontario’s Minister of Economic Development, Victor Fedeli.

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has said “everything is on the table” when it comes to retaliatory measures.

Former Central Banker Mark Carney, who also runs for the liberal leadership, said Last weekend, it was to limit electricity exports to remain an option in a trading match with Trump.

Several leaders have been vocal dissenter to the “Team Canada” method. Alberta prime minister Danielle Smith and Saskatchewan Premier Scott Moe have a hard opposite to turn off the oil cock. Moe also said his province is “does not support export tariffs. “

The vast majority of Canada’s export of crude oil goes to the United States and accounts for whether 60 percent of America’s oil consumption.

Could Ottawa order an export ban?

The federal government could disregard resistance from some premieres to limit the country’s energy exports, experts say.

Ottawa could extend its list of goods subject to export control, which requires a permit along with certain conditions.

“For example, you may have a Canadian supplier in Alberta who wants to deliver oil to an American buyer, and as part of this contract – to make it a realizable contract – the Canadian supplier would need to submit an application about a permit for the Canadian government, ”said Clifford Sosnow, who is leading the Law Firm’s International Trade and Investment Group.

“Typically, some of this size would go using an order-in-advice”-Effectively a cabinet order that does not require any new legislation-made Sosnow.

Sanctions are another option, albeit an extreme and unlikely.

“They show a country like a sanctioned entity or individuals as sanctioned units and say you cannot enter into any transactions with these countries and or persons without permission,” Sosnow said.

But Canada is “clearly not to sanction the United States” or its businesses, he added.

More likely than either a sanction or a unified energy pathway is a higher price tag that the government imposes on US buyers, said Vass Bednar, CEO of McMaster University’s Master of Public Policy Program.

She cited a fixed fee or a percentage duty based on the value of the good. These measures still inflict “Pocket Book Pain”, but avoid the chaos that a full-on-energy bargo would trigger.

“A ban seems to do more than just match what the US mortgage for; It seems like an escalation act, ”Bednar said.

In the interview on Tuesday, Leblanc called on a “measured, scaled, proportionate” response. He also elaborated on Trudeau’s comment that all possibilities remain open.

“Everything is on the table, but you don’t start – you usually start with a starter, then you have a main course,” Leblanc said.

Sources

The claim can be found on x here (Filed) and here (Filed?

“West of Center” – CBC, 29 January 2025 (Filed?

Ford threatens to cut off ontario’s energy supply to us if Trump follows through on customs rates – CBC News, December 11, 2024 (Filed?

X post from Victor Fedeli (Filed?

Trudeau says ‘Everything is on the table’ for response to Trump -Tolds rates – the Canadian press, 21 January 2025 (archived)

Carney says Canada can use electricity for leverage in the event of a trade war – Bloomberg News at Financial Post, January 26, 2025 (Filed?

Smith opposes blocking energy exports to us, but Ford wants to keep the option open – the Canadian press, 13 January 2025 (archived)

MOE, Legault Inch closer to Smith on energy exports, push back on major Trump -Recover – National Post, January 22, 2025 (Filed?

In-Brief Analysis: Canada’s crude oil has an increasingly significant role in US Refinereries-Es Energy Information Administration, August 1, 2024 (Filed?

Clifford Sosnow -Profile on the Law Firms Web site. (Filed?

Vass Bednar -Profil at McMaster University -Websted (Filed?

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