4th February Vintry Mix develops Wednesday and freezes rain through Thursday morning

February 4, 2025

Tuesday morning report

Another quiet day and then the cold air attenuation event begins tomorrow. This will lead to a winter mix that develops on Wednesday afternoon and evening, which turns into just freezing rain on Thursday morning. Another weekend -ice event is expected on Saturday to end as rain on Sunday.

Drought update

Rainfall deficits on BWI

Ending 2024 = -8.00 ″, since January 1st = -1.69

So we’re down -9.69 ″, including last year!

Morning temperatures

Morning surface weather

A cold front moves quietly through the eastern United States. This will set us up with the colder air to the ice cream storm.

Prognosis temperatures

Tuesday afternoon to Thursday morning …

Storm forecast Thursday morning

We can see how the cold air attenuation sets up in the middle Atlantic area. This cold air, wedge between the mountains and the sea, will lock in while the warmer air brings rain high. That’s what develops the ice mix.

Winter precipitation

The winter blend of gossip or freezing rain depends on the thickness of hot air in the middle of the atmosphere. An inversion is a layer of hot air squeezed between colder clouds and colder soil. Snow can form in the clouds, then fall and melt and then have a chance to freeze again on the way down.

Sleet = Melted snow can then crefeeze to the ice cream pellets on the way down.

Freezing rain = Melted snow cannot crawl in time, but will contract with the ground. It falls like rain, then ices on the surface of everything it touches.

Today: Afternoon Temperatures

Climate data: Baltimore

Today 4th February

Sunrise at. 7:10

Sunset at. 17.31

Normal low in Baltimore: 25ºF

Record 5ºF in 1918

Normal high in Baltimore: 44ºF

Record 72ºF 1991

Baltimore seasonal snow

8.9 ”

Wednesday weather

Morning temperatures

Radar simulation

Light snow will develop in the southern pa, then the icy mixing of the icy mix is ​​expanded from Virginia through Maryland in the evening.

Dinner Snapshot

Afternoon Snapshot

Afternoon temperatures

The night becomes icy

21.00

Midnight

Thursday morning icy weather

Concern for an ice cream storm! A few hours of freezing rain can be very cumbersome. Even when the temperatures warm over 32F, it will take a few hours for the ice to melt.

Close to snapshots

7 am

10am

13.00

We thaw in the afternoon. Historically, models do a bad job of ice cream and bring the hot air in too fast …

Also: Even after Temps rises, it will take hours for the ice to melt.

16.00

Winter precipitation potential forecasts

GFS SLEET

As we had Sunday night, this is a bear and with freezing rain to follow will add ice thickness on the ground.

GFS freezes rain

This is the colder solution that is more widespread and heavier influence.

Weekend Repeat:

Both models show another round of winter mixing for freezing rain on Saturday, ending with rain on Sunday.

7 days forecast

Wednesday: Return of the colder air with a light mixture possible.

The focus will be the freezing rain on Wednesday night to Thursday morning.

Atmospheric memory: The storm pattern will try to repeat again this weekend with more freezing rain.

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La Nina Advisory January 2025

Full report

My winter prospects

My Winter Outlook -Report

See also

Latest snow reports

Snow reports this season

Click the cards for the full report.

19 January Snow Report

11th January Snow Report

6. January Snow Report

Previous snow

November 22 Snow Report

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