5. February Mother

February 5, 2025

Wednesday Report

There is so much to talk about today. When colder air works back, a thin bond of light snow has developed and covered the ground in northeast maryland. I showed this for the past two days, but the models struggled with it.

The main focus will be on the evolving gossip and freezing rain tonight. The majority fall after midnight, with moderate to heavy ice at dawn. The winter weather counseling in place has been expanded to 10 AM in central Maryland. Dorchester County at Eastern Shore is also added.

This weekend brings another icy mix late Saturday, and then an active pattern with colder air will try to produce snow next week.

First, we have a drought and need the humidity in any way it will arrive.

Drought update

Rainfall deficits on BWI

Ending 2024 = -8.00 ″, since January 1st = -1.90

So we’re down -9.90 ″, including last year!

Climate data: Baltimore

Today 5th February

Sunrise at. 7:09

Sunset at. 17.33

Normal low in Baltimore: 25ºF

Record -1ºF in 1886; 1996

Normal high in Baltimore: 44ºF

Record 73ºF 1991

Baltimore seasonal snow

8.9 ”

Morning temperatures

Doppler Radar at. 06.45

This narrow band of snow can fall a coating in parts of Harford and Cecil County in Maryland.

Model comparison

A nucasting technique is to compare and see which model handles the current setup best.

Nam with high resolution missed this snow, but GFS actually showed it best. Therefore, I continue to rely on this model in this situation.

Nam

GFS

Morning surface weather

The Arctic air has arrived in New England and sends the cold air our way.

A thin bond of snow has formed over southern Pennsylvania to the northeastern Maryland.

Is Storm Alarms

Winter weather counseling has been:

• Expanded to 10 am in central Maryland.
• Extended to Dorchester County, Maryland.

Radar simulation at. 10 Weds until 7 p.m. 13.00 Thu

The GFS model has handled this best so far …

Afternoon Snapshot

Temperatures

Overnight

1 am

7 am

Daybreak: The thaw will be slow. Models often have a hard time moving the hot air in. The thickness of the ice will also determine how long it takes to melt according to temperatures hot.

Temperatures

10am

Otaben is expanded late in the morning to early afternoon for the colder inner areas.

Temperatures

Thursday afternoon temperatures

Winter precipitation potential forecasts

GFS Snow

GFS SLEET

There can be strong slut with up to 1 inch before the freezing rain develops.

GFS freezes rain

ECMWF freezing rain

Winter precipitation

The winter blend of gossip or freezing rain depends on the thickness of hot air in the middle of the atmosphere. An inversion is a layer of hot air squeezed between colder clouds and colder soil. Snow can form in the clouds, fall and melt and then have a chance to freeze again on the way down.

Sleet = Melted snow -free to the ice cream pellets on the way down.

Freezing rain = Melted snow cannot abstain in time, but will be in contact with the ground. It falls like rain, then ices on the surface of everything it touches.

Active Pattern by Repeat:

Both models show another round of winter mixing for freezing rain on Saturday, ending with rain on Sunday morning.

Next week will try to work on colder air and bring us snow.

GFS is expected Saturday to Tuesday

ECMWF Model Snapshots

7 days forecast

A break from the ice later Thursday and Friday.

Atmospheric memory: The storm pattern will try to repeat again this weekend with more freezing rain on Saturday night.

The pattern remains active with more winter weather next week

Subscribe to E -Mail warnings

Weather Posts directly to your inbox

Sign up and be the first to know!

La Nina Advisory January 2025

Full report

My winter prospects

My Winter Outlook -Report

See also

Latest snow reports

Snow reports this season

Click the cards for the full report.

19 January Snow Report

11th January Snow Report

6. January Snow Report

Previous snow

November 22 Snow Report

Fitf -Gear for sale

In the event that you missed this

The belief in the flags 5. December Origin History

Share your thoughts and best weather pictures/videos, or just keep in touch with social media.

Plan a weather -based vot -collection

Difficult weather: Storm Smart October and next spring winter weather Fitf (Believe in the Flows): November to March Click to see more and send a request for your school.

Thanks:

Baltimore Magazine -Readers Choice Best of Baltimore

Maryland Trek 11 Day 7 Completed Saturday 10 August

We raised over $ 104,000 for just in power children – and are collecting more and more more

The annual event: Hiking and Cycling 329 miles in 7 days between the top of Wisp to Ocean City.

Every day we honor a child and their family’s cancer journey.

Fundraising is for power children only: financing free holistic programs. I have never and will never take a penny. It’s all for our nonprofit to work.

Click here or the image to donate:

Restoring my message about dyslexia

I am aware that there are some spelling and grammar letters and occasional other errors. I take responsibility for my mistakes and even the computer errors I might miss. I have made a few public statements over the years, but if you are new here, you may have missed it: I have dyslexia and found out in my second year at Cornell University. That did not prevent me from getting my meteorological degree and being the first to get AMS CBM in the Baltimore/Washington region. One of my professors told me that I had reached it so far without knowing and not letting it be a crutch in the future. It was Mark Wysocki and he was totally correct! I miss my mistakes in my own proofreading. The auto -corrective spell check on my computer sometimes makes an injustice to make it worse. I can also make a mistake in the forecast. No one is perfect to predict the future. All maps and information are accurate. The ‘worded’ things can be sticky. There has been no editor who can check my work while writing And to have it ready to send out in a news -worthy timeline. Barbara Werner is a member of Web team It helps me preserve this site. She has undertaken to edit typos when she is available. It could be after you read this. I accept this and might prove what you read is really from me … It’s part of my charm. #Fitf