2025 WM Phoenix Open Odds, Expert Picks, DFS: Scottie Scheffler is pursuing Third ‘People’s Open’ Victory

On By Littum

PGA Tour leads to Arizona for the WM Phoenix Open at TPC Scottsdale. The week -long party in the desert attracts the biggest crowds in the world to a golf event. Plus, golfans and reveals don’t have to line up with a super bowl in town this year.

Who is having the more fun this week, those in Scottsdale at the WM Phoenix Open or those in New Orleans for the Super Bowl 59?

The WM Phoenix Open is to crack down on alcohol consumption and intoxication after being criticized for less than ideal fan behavior. To put dents made of beer bottles on the 16th green must be stored for “Happy Gilmore 2.”

The WM Phoenix Open is located between two PGA Tour signature events while trying to attract the best field it can. With so many PGA Tour professionals calling Phoenix and the Scottsdale areas home, you can see why they have a nice built-in field.

World # 1, Scottie Scheffler, who happens to be a two-time champion here, is in the field this week and is the heavy betting favorite to win and make it three titles in the desert. Participation in him is colleague two-time WM Phoenix Open Master Hideki Matsuyama with Justin Thomas, Sungjae IM and Sam Burns.

This week’s model will concentrate on strokes obtained from tee to green, on approach from 250 plus yards and on short par 4s, as well as proximity to the fairway on drive and delay. This week’s Greener looks like football fields compared to those that the players looked at AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am last week.

Golfers will need to check the speed of their putts to avoid putting three times. Rough has grown to 3.5 inches, so just missing the fairway may be a little more punishment than usual, especially with water on some key holes. Big misses the tee and water balls on birdie holes are the real threats here.

2025 WM Phoenix open odds

Course information

  • Course: TPC Scottsdale Stadium Course
  • Location: Scottsdale, Arizona
  • Designer: Tom Weiskopf and Jay Morrish
  • Couple: 71
  • Length: 7.261 Yards
  • Average Green Size: 7,000 square meters
  • Former Masters: Nick Taylor (2024), Scottie Scheffler (2023, 2022), Brooks Koepka (2021, 2015), Webb Simpson (2020), Rickie Fowler (2019), Gary Woodland (2018) and Hideki Matsuyama (2017, 2016)

Rate -Glid

Scottie Scheffler (+275) Returned to action this week by getting nearly 6.0 strokes on approach to Pebble Beach and over 3.0 combined over the weekend. His turns and health looked good, even with some hiccups around the green. If you are more interested in betting on the Super Bowl this week, Parlaying of a Scheffler -Ssey with a Super Bowl -OP effort can be a great way to extract value from this number. For example, I could take Scheffler with a Saquon Barkley at any time touchdown.

Sam Burns (+2500) Struggling with its iron and approaching shots. He has lost more than 1.5 strokes of approach in the four tournaments he has played since losing over 6.0 at the Presidents Cup. He has achieved a stroke in each of his last five attempts at TPC Scottsdale and has improved his finishing each of the previous two years. I like this number because it shows how weak the field is outside Scheffler.

Maverick McNealy (+5000) Got over 5.3 strokes combined tee and on the approach on Pebble Beach, but surprisingly lost most of them on the green. He completed the T6 here and got a stroke in each category and is a putting back from striving for a win.

Rasmus Højgaard (+5000) Haven’t played in the WM Phoenix Open before, but has done well in my model and in the total course -adjusted fit over his last 36 rounds. He has been stroked on approach in 17 equally measured events and over 8.0 strokes combined on approach in his last two tournaments.

Longshots

Gary Woodland (+10000) Am among my long shots again this week at another place where he has won. He got over 3.0 strokes combined from tee and by approach to AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am after getting almost 6.0 strokes combined in the same statistical categories on the Sony Open.

Jake Knapp (+15000) is a resident of Scottsdale and his game starts to turn. Like most young people PGA Tour players, he has struggled with consistency, but he can pay for you when you get him on a recovery. He completed the T28 here last year and got over 1.5 strokes on approach to Pebble Beach last week. It was the first time he got so many strokes on the approach since May 2024 at the CJ Cup Byron Nelson.

DFS player

Scottie Scheffler ($ 12,000) is this week’s highest prices and for good reason. Although he wants to take a large part of my budget, I build most of my teams around him.

Hideki Matsuyama ($ 10,200) Has fought for tee in his last two excursions and has struggled to hit Fairways recently, which did not offer him well on one of his favorite golf courses. I’m not fading him completely, but I will be under his ownership percentage with a few points.

Sam Burns ($ 10,000) See above.

Rasmus Højgaard ($ 9,200) See above.

Byeong she an ($ 9,100) Have never missed a cut here and enjoys desert golf. I thought he would do well to start the year after winning the Korea championship in October, but he has struggled with his iron and his approach shots. He has lost over 5.6 strokes combined on approach to his last three tournaments.

Maverick McNealy ($ 8,800) See above.

Nick Taylor ($ 8,400) Won in an playoffs here last year and has received over 13.3 strokes on the procedure combined by its first three golf tournaments in 2025.

Luke Clanton ($ 8,300) Running the ball really well and eventually improved its approach game and got over 1.9 strokes on approach. He is priced just around larger championship winners fighting. He should not be ignored.

Billy Horschel ($ 7,600) Achieved over 4.3 strokes on approach last week at Pebble Beach and haven’t missed a cut here since 2014. He loves crowds and has two top-nine finishes here.

Sam Stevens ($ 7,600) Followed up his second place at Farmers Insurance Open with a T17 on Pebble Beach, where he got over 4.3 strokes combined from tee and by approach. He is in good shape and had a T28 here last year, which proves that he can handle crowds.

Andrew Novak ($ ​​7,500) Followed up in his third place in Farmers Insurance Open with a T13 on AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am. He shows up well in my model and ended the T8 here last year.

Lucas Glover ($ 7,400) Come out against AIMPoint sets this weekAnd I’m glad someone on the PGA Tour did. He also had some good quotes about Rory McIlroy and how great it is to see someone getting better with hard work. Glover finished T3 on Pebble Beach by winning over 5.0 strokes on approach and staying warm with the putter. He has been mediocre here, which has made 12 out of 15 cuts, but has never completed higher than the T20. I made a mistake not to play him last week and won’t do it again this week, but I’m not going overboard the ownership percentage.

Charley Hoffman ($ 7,200) has been on a heater from tee to green. He has had over 16 strokes combined from tee to green over his last three tournaments. He ended up in second place in an playoffs here last year and has only missed the cut once since 2014. His putter is icy, but he hits well and only needs to improve a little to have value at this price.

Gary Woodland ($ 7,100) See above.

Bud Cauley ($ 6,900) Had over 15 strokes combined from tee to green over his last three tournaments before retiring in front of American Express. He has cut down here six out of seven attempts with three top-26 finishes. He has had over 9.0 strokes combined by approaching his last three tournaments here. Anyone who has read my column for a while knows I’m a bid Cauley fan, so there’s no doubt that I’m playing him this week, though he’s probably a little cheaper.

Ryan Fox ($ 6,900) Finished T41 here last year and has played well on the DP World Tour with a top-10 on the Dubai Desert Classic and a T27 on Ras Al Khaimah Championship. He got over 7.5 strokes on approach combined in these two tournaments.

Jake Knapp ($ 6,800) See above.

Lanto Griffin ($ 6,500) Got over 4.5 strokes combined tee and by approach to Farmers Insurance Open and appears to be in decent form as he goes back to the PGA Tour.

One and finished

Patrick Cantlay didn’t help my teams last week, but it could have been worse. I thought of Sahith Theegala because he has two top-fives here, but his recent form has been a little too erratic to trust him this week. I don’t take Scottie Scheffler in a non-signature or major event. I’m between Andrew Novak and Nick Taylor. Contact me in the comments or on Twitter for my final decision.

(Scottie Scheffler at AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am 2025: Jed Jacobsohn / Getty Images)