FA CUP predictions, odds and best bets: Will Leicester cause a shock against Man Utd at Old Trafford in the Fourth Round? | Football News

Our betting expert Jones knows he gives his insight as he analyzes this weekend’s FA Cup fourth round action and makes a case for Birmingham to beat Newcastle.

Manchester United vs Leicester, Friday at. 20

This Manchester United team does not score goals. Thanks, Captain Obviously!

They have scored only 28 goals in 24 Premier League matches this season to an average per day. 90 on 1.17 – Leicester, Ipswich, Southampton and Everton average less.

A key question stems from their inability to start games with any intent under Ruben Amorim. Slow starts set the tone for the rest of the game.

The only goal from the first half they have scored in their last 14 games in all competitions was Bruno Fernandes’ penalty in the defeat against Brighton, and after going at the level of the break against Palace, it is now 16 games since this team led after 45 minutes.

It creates some amazing betting opportunities to exploit, especially with half-time 0-0 correct score offered on 3/1 with Sky Bet.

Performance Forest: 1-0

Leyton Orient vs Manchester City, Saturday at. 12.15

As a person who has been running the Manchester City diversity for profitable effect this season, is the chance of supporting their resistance on 20/1 with cloud bet brighten up my eyes, right? Imagine if City Losing on Brisbane Road? Pep Guardiola can burn a thousand pieces.

Orient Boss Richie Wellens is definitely up to the challenge and says, “Our analysts have been in their element this week because they have seen clips of those who play PSG, Arsenal and Liverpool. We have felt vulnerabilities there.”

I like this from Wellens.

The city is so open without the ball that Orient gets moments just by being very direct and quickly getting the ball forward – this makes their shot line very interesting from a betting perspective. Salford, from League two, managed to shoot 10 shots in 8-0 reversed earlier this season, while City’s average of 12.5 shots was facing pr. 90 across their last 20 matches contours their vicious structure.

Jamie Donley, on loan from Spurs, is Orient’s Shots Master and posts 23 shots in his last 10 league matches. These numbers make 9/4 with cloud bet on hitting that average and detecting two or more shots very interesting.

Performance Forest: 1-2

Birmingham vs Newcastle, Saturday at. 17.45 – Play Super 6!

Some may fall into the trap of believing in the momentum factor for Newcastle, which reaches the Carabao Cup final on Wednesday night. First, it is an impossible metric to quantify, so it must be ignored when taking bets, and there is evidence that making a cup final can actually damage your subsequent league form instead of increasing it.

Just look at the last six non-Big-Six teams to make the EFL Cup final and their results between their victory in the second stage and the final show a link between form loss.

In these 24 games, the clubs involved suffered 12 losses, five draw and only seven wins. There is evidence that making a cupfinal gives a little momentum in the next set of games before the big day. Newcastle is included in this sample of clubs when they made the Carabao Cup final in 2023 – they were winless in their next three games after their semi -final victory, drew to West Ham and Bournemouth and lost to Liverpool.

Birmingham runs away with the League One title, an average of 2.33 points per Matches this season. It is only improved by Liverpool (2.38) in the four upper English departments. Their midweek vertu trophy -se over Stevenage made it 18 games unbeaten in all competitions – a race that extends back to November 23 when they were humiliated by Shrewsbury. In the league, they have kept nine clean sheets in their last 13 games and admitted only four goals.

They can cause a disturbance here. Back them to qualify for 100/30 with cloud bet.

Performance Forest: 2-1 | Jones knows’ best effort: Birmingham to qualify (100/30 with Sky Bet)

Brighton vs Chelsea, Saturday at. 20.00 – Play Super 6!

One theory that has a habit of paying benefits when it comes to football games is to support a team to tighten defensively that has been downcast in their previous games. Brighton fits the bill after their 7-0 walloping in Nottingham Forest, where they couldn’t do the basics of defending throughout the game.

There should be a reaction from them with their defensive output against a Chelsea team that has just dropped their own target production of late and scored only 1.4 goals per year. 90 in the Premier League across their last nine games. Under the 2.5 goal line of 6/4 with Sky Bet should go close.

Performance Forest: 1-1 (Chelsea to win on sanctions)

Plymouth vs Liverpool, Sunday at. 15.00 – Play Super 6!

Those who think Liverpool is the best team in England should consider supporting them to win the FA Cup directly when you evaluate how the market is about to shape. Arne Slot’s men are 4/1 seconds favorites with Sky Bet, with Manchester City priced as market leaders – that makes a little sense.

This should not prove too much of a problem for the red based on Plymouth’s current form to win one of their last 16 championship matches. An outdoor victory with less than 3.5 goals thrown into the mixture of 6/5 with Sky Bet, the game looks.

Performance Forest: 0-2

Aston Villa VS Tottenham, Sunday at. 17.35 – Play Super 6!

Aston Villa is an easy team to score against, especially without Pau Torres. He is a huge miss and I am always aware of trusting them without him.

The data points out that the Spanish defender is a massive player for them.

Since the start of last season, in 51 games with him, Villa’s Win percentage is 58 percent, and they have admitted 1.3 goals per year. Match. Without him, across a sample size of 22 games, their Win percentage falls to 35 percent, and they admit 2.1 goals per year. Match. In total, their percentage falls 23 percent without him, and they admit 0.8 more goals.

Of course, football is a low scoring sport, so goals that are admitted are a red flag when it comes to backing villa in this place. This is a more important match for Spurs and they are the effort to qualify for 7/4 with Sky Bet.

Performance Forest: 1-2

Jones by ‘Best Choice …

1pt at Birmingham to qualify VS Newcastle (100/30 with Sky Bet)