England vs France preview and best bet

Six nations betting tips

3pts France (-8.5 points) to beat England at 6/5 (Unibet)

2pts France (-3 points) Half-time disability against England on Evens (Paddy Power, Betfair Sportsbook)

1PT Ollie Sleightholme at any time trial scorer in England against France at. 5/2 (Bet365)

1pt Tommy Freeman First Try-Scorer in England against France at. 16/1 (Coral, Ladbrokes)

Sky bet odds | Paddy Power | Betfair sportsbook

England against France

• Saturday 1645 GMT
• Twickenham, London
• Live on ITV1 and ITVX

According to History Books, England and France have met 111 times in testing. Cricket fans of an older vintage will know this number like ‘Nelson’, after Lord Admiral Nelson, and it usually comes with negative connotations. But which of the teams comes out on the wrong side of sporting superstition? Steve Bondhwick would give his vicinity right arm to get a victory that Nelson did in battle, but it is my belief that his rorless ship, to shoe horn another maritime metaphor in, does not return to a steady keel .

Bondhwick’s words before and after battle often sound as hollow as an empty vessel, but the pressure pulls up on him after a terrible result and he desperately needs his team to be on the right side of this weekend’s result. Any harbor in a storm will do for Bondhwick right now, and for someone so data -driven, his decision to choose Marcus Smith at full back for the first time in test rugby can not be seen as anything but a gamble. Defensively, I expect Smith to be exposed. No one can question his courage, but he simply does not have Oomph in the tackle that a Freddie -Steward has, and France seems to postpone him physically.

That said, he had to create lots of openings when he runs the ball back and it could be good news for Ollie Sleightholme, a wings I evaluate very loudly. Sleightholme was very unlucky not to start against Ireland and enters the team to replace the wounded Cadan Murley. Sleightholme is great for making finishes out of nowhere and seems to have a decent chance of becoming the third English wings to score in this six nations after Murley and Tommy Freeman crossed at each end of last weekend’s 27-22 defeat in Dublin. Sleightholme has proved in big matches before, so it is surprising that eight players are ahead of him in any try-scorer market. 5/2 Bet365 Offer could represent a bit of value.

To cover any losses, a small effort on another edge sees to be the first try-scorer to appear to be the way to go. In five out of England’s last six tests against the top 10 opposition, a wings from both sides have accounted for the first attempt, and understandably French duo, the Fit-Again Damian Penaud (who have four trials in five samples against England) and Louis BIELELE-BIARREY, is a joint favorite of 8/1. If you want a little more bang for your bucks, Tommy Freeman is twice as much as the odds 16/1.

Currently, England is not able to arrange things at Hoven during matches and tend to do the same over and over again while expecting different results. When choosing a smith over another on the aircraft half, with Northampton’s fine Smith, replacing Marcus at 10am, Bondhwick has tried to tackle this. Smith, who starts his first test start, is much more of a game control 10 than his Quins counterpart. But what positive things you get with having him at 10 am are probably offset by the negative that we have mentioned about having a lightweight rookie at. 15, and I struggle to be convinced that England can pull a victory out of the bag as they did against Ireland last year.

With a big win against Wales behind them, their leading post -process back on the wing, Rugby’s Ged Antoine Dupont ready to serve another Masterclass, an English defense coach in Shaun Edwards who would love to hammer his Lions Lions Legitimation information with another defensive master class , And the 53-10 record route to England on their last visit to Twickenham, which is still fresh in their memories, France will cross the channel with lots of faith and should be good enough to cover three points on the first half handicap betting.

England led Ireland 10-5 at half-time in Dublin, but this was only the second time they turned around in the break in front of the World Cup in 2023. While the average half-time deficit in these matches against the leading pages is only four points, France should have The fire to be more than a penalty in front of the first 40 before continuing to win by a double -digit margin and add England’s sinking feeling.

Italy vs Wales

3pts under 47.5 points in Italy vs Wales at 4/5 (Boylsports)

2pts Italy to beat Wales with 1-7 points on 11/4 (Paddy Power, Betfair Sportsbook)

2PTS TAULUPE FALETAU EVERYTHING TRIAL SCOROR IN ITALY VS WALES ON 7/1 (SKY BET)

• Saturday 1415 GMT
• Stadio Olimpico, Rome
• Live on ITV1 and ITVX

Taken as a whole, it seems to be the hardest weekend in Six Nations Rugby to predict for many years. You might think I’m getting my excuses early after last weekend’s whitewash when England’s two late attempts heartbreaking made a profit a loss. But let’s be honest, you can easily argue for any of the teams to win, which is reflected by the fact that all three match disabilities are tight – 6.5 points or under anywhere.

First, it is Italy against Wales in Rome. Two things count with an Italian victory. First, they are in the unusual position to be favorites and it will be fascinating to see how well it is with them. And second, and this one is a little more exciting, incredible Italy has never won another round match in the championship’s 25-year history. Sixteen times they have won in 126 games, but never at this stage of the competition. Are these big enough factors in justifying support for Wales? Probably not, not even on a tempting 11/5.

As predicted on this site, Wales started a decent start to France and the scoring was 0-0 after 17 minutes. But then they implated and continued to lose the 43-0-first time they failed to score in a Six National match.

Scoring points are a problem for last year’s wooden spoon -spoonists, and although we can see them score a few attempts against an Italian defense blowing hot and cold, it’s doubtful that they’ll have enough to win their first match in 14 tests. Whether they go under/over 18.5 points seems to be a tough call. Wales has only fallen under this brand once in 33 previous meetings with Italy (an 18-18 draw in 2006), so the natural inclination would be to go over. But again, I would have no confidence that they achieved that their lack of ideas with ball in hand.

A judgmental state from Wales’ opening match is that they had the ball in attack in exactly the same number of minutes as France, but still failed to disturb the scoreboard. Five times they went into the French 22, and five times they got away with nothing. Unless they have found a very quick solution, Wales’ passing in Backline, is too lateral and static to break down defense, and the Italian center Ignacio Brex will enjoy the chance to smash them behind Gainline.

Wales does not have the game-breaking backs that they once had. Josh Adams is in the midst of his longest trial-scored drought for Wales (eight games), Liam Williams doesn’t have the gas to cut through defense, as he did in his pomp, and Tom Rogers, who was lively against France, still has to get off the brand.

If Wales, as predicted, crosses the Italian money laundering, it is likely to be from a rumble close to the line, and the Talisman Taulupe Faletau is as good as anyone to come with the goods. No.8 plays his first game for Wales since he broke his arm against Georgia at the World Cup in 2023 – last time Wales actually won at this level – and has four attempts in his last 12 caps. Sky Bet’s 7/1 for him to score one attempt has caught my eye as the other layers quote prices three points shorter.

Wales will also have to improve their discipline if they are to avoid giving Italy a light foothold in the fight. Laid under enormous pressure by the French hosted Wales 12 sanctions and lost two men to Sin-Bin.

Tommaso Allan’s goal kick was brilliant against Scotland, and he will be ready to step up and punish any opportunities that come his way, making him a credible player of the match competition, and also to a match dominated by penalty kicks that make us ways against predicting a low scoring game.

If Italy wins, it probably won’t be more than one score in an arm-wrestle of a match, so I think under 47.5 points (4/5 with Boylsports) might be the way to go, with a small side rate on Italy to win by 1-7 points on 11/4.

In the overall combat wine, the disability apparatus has Italy -7.5, and given Azzursmen’s biggest victory with victory against Wales is eight points (back in 2003), it would take a bold call to support them on this front.

Sent to 1100 GMT on 07/02/25

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