NFL Week 16 Player Props, Picks, Best Bets

Derrick Henry has come back down to earth after a first half worthy of Offensive Player of the Year.

The star running back has had fewer than 83.5 rushing yards — his Over/Under at FanDuel Sportsbook for Saturday’s game in Baltimore — in four of his last five games.

He had surpassed that number in seven of his first nine games with the Ravens, including six straight in September and October.

And now Henry faces one of the toughest rushing defenses in the NFL.

Steelers vs. Ravens odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Steelers +6.5 (-115) +235 o44.5 (-110)
Ravens -6.5 (-105) -290 u44.5 (-110)
Odds via FanDuel

The Steelers have allowed the fourth fewest rushing yards per game. game (94.4) and fifth fewest yards per game. attempts (4.0) this season.

Last time out against Pittsburgh a month ago, Henry managed just 65 yards on the ground in the 18-16 loss — his second-lowest total of the season.


Derrick Henry #22 of the Baltimore Ravens runs with the ball in the second half against the New York Giants at MetLife Stadium on December 15, 2024 in East Rutherford, New Jersey.
Derrick Henry #22 of the Baltimore Ravens runs with the ball in the second half against the New York Giants at MetLife Stadium on December 15, 2024 in East Rutherford, New Jersey. Getty Images

The Ravens have taken their foot off the gas when it comes to Henry in recent weeks, explaining some of his less than stellar numbers.

Henry has had the ball handed to him less than 20 times in four of his last five games after tallying more than 20 rushing attempts in four of his first nine games with Baltimore.

He had just 67 rushing yards on 14 carries in last week’s blowout win over the Giants.


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Henry has played in just under half of the Ravens’ offensive snaps in two of the past four games after eight straight games of 50 percent or more.

I hate to bet against King Henry, but this difficult matchup does not come at the right time.

The Play: Derrick Henry Under 83.5 Rushing Yards (-110, FanDuel Sportsbook)


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Dylan Svoboda is a versatile writer and analyst across many sports. He is particularly knowledgeable about the big three – MLB, NFL and NBA.