ATP Australian Open best bets including Auger-Aliassime vs Davidovich Fokina

ATP Australian Open 1/32 finals

Vukic – Korda: 15.01.2025 04:00 CEST
H2H: 1-2

Aleksandar Vukic has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Adelaide, Aleksandar lost in the opening round against Giron in three close sets. Vukic loves playing at home, where he has massive support from his home crowd. In the opening round of the Australian Open, Vukic defeated Dzumhur in five sets, as we predicted. It was a roller coaster game where both players were inconsistent. However, Vukic was a better player when it mattered most. Last year at the Australian Open, Vukic lost in the opening round to Jordan Thompson in five close sets.
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Sebastian Korda has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Adelaide, Korda reached the final, losing to Auger-Aliassime in three sets. As we predicted, Korda battled Klein in Australia in the opening round. Sebastian had a hard time against Klein, but he won in four sets. Korda had surgery on his right elbow, so he skipped the second part of the 2024 season. Last year in Melbourne, Korda reached the third round and lost to Rublev in straight sets.

Best bet

According to the bookmakers, Korda is the favorite in this match, but we disagree. Korda struggled in his opening match against Klein. We expect a close match that can go either way. Vukic loves to play aggressive tennis, which is a perfect surface for him.

Having said that, Vukic covering the game handicap is a value bet.

Value Bets/ Best Odds: Aleksandar Vukic +4.5 Bet Handicap @1.83 @bet365

Davidovich Fokina – Auger-Aliassime: 15.01.2025 06:00 CEST
H2H: 0-6

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Adelaide, the Spaniard reached the second round and lost to Korda in straight sets. In Melbourne, Alejandro won the opening set against Shang 7-6. In the second set, Shang withdrew due to an injury. Last season was disappointing for Davidovich Fokina, who is totally out of shape. Last year in Melbourne, Alejandro reached the second round and lost to Nuno Borges in straight sets.

Felix Auger-Aliassime has won six matches in a row. Last week in Adelaide, Felix won the title, beating Korda in the final in three close sets. Auger-Aliassime now has six ATP titles. In the opening round of the Australian Open, Felix easily defeated Struff in four sets. The young Canadian started this season playing in the United Cup. He lost his opening match against Coric, but defeated Fritz shortly after that. Last year at the Australian Open, Felix reached the third round and lost to Medvedev in straight sets.

Best bet

According to the bookmakers, Auger-Aliassime is the favorite in this matchup, and we agree. Felix played well in his opening match against Struff and we expect him to be all but confident going into this match. On the other hand, Alejandro almost lost the opening set against Shang and made many unforced errors in the first two sets. Auger-Aliassime leads 6-0 in head-to-head meetings and we expect him to win once again against Alejandro.

Having said that, Felix to win 3-0 or 3-1 is a value bet.

Value Bets/ Best Odds: Felix Auger-Aliassime -1.5 Sets @-166 @FanDuel

Main photo credit: Peter van den Berg-USA TODAY Sports