3 Best NBA Bets and Player Props for Heat at Lakers

On January 16, 2025By Littum

Even within a single NBA game, the betting markets are plentiful.

You can bet on traditional markets like the spread or the total, but we also have tons of player support markets to look through.

Which bets stand out today as Miami Heat is facing Los Angeles Lakers?

Let’s dig into the best bets in FanDuel Sportsbook’s NBA betting oddsusing FanDuel Research’s NBA projections to try to find value.

Heat at Lakers Betting Picks

Over 215.0 (-108)

A meeting between Miami Heat and Los Angeles Lakers has a modest 215.0 over/under — overall, I like these teams to outperform tonight.

With Los Angeles and Miami ranked 21st and 27th respectively in pace, it makes sense that we would have a low total on our hands. However, the Lakers (19th) and Heat (25th) have each played slightly faster in their last 15 games.

The Heat attempt the ninth most three-pointers in the association and shoot them at the 12th best clip. Miami’s offense had to be able to take advantage of a Lakers defense that ranked just 24th on the night. On the season, the Lakers give up 114.3 points per game – good for the 11th most in the NBA.

Los Angeles ranks 14th in offensive efficiency and 11th over their last 10 games. They score 115.7 points per game at home in stark contrast to 107.7 points away from home.

When these clubs met earlier this season in Miami, the game totaled 227 points despite the Lakers contributing just 93 points on a rough 5-for-22 shooting from behind the arc. number Four’s NBA Game Projections predicting just north of 221 points for tonight’s game. This 215.0 over/under seems a little too low in a game that will feature two capable offenses.

Bam Adebayo over 28.5 Pts + Reb + Ast (-120)

My favorite way to bet on this game is to target over Bam Adebayo‘s combined points, rebounds and assists (PRA) prop.

Adebayo averages 30.5 PRA and has gone over 28.5 PRA in 56.8% of games – a hair over 54.5% probability at these -120 odds.

That’s all well and good, but Bam also faces the seventh-worst defense in the league tonight. He dominates the meh defense.

In 17 games against bottom 10 defenses, Adebayo is averaging 34.5 PRA and has surpassed 28.5 PRA at a whopping 76.5% rate (13 out of 17 contests).

The Lakers give up the 11th-most points, 13th-most rebounds and ninth-most assists to centers per minute. Earlier this season, Bam mustered 31 PRA against the Lakers despite being limited to 25 minutes in a blowout script. I expect him to be there again tonight.

Rui Hachimura 2+ made threes (+150)

Rui Hachimura has an average of 1.5 three-pointers per game and has drained at least two three-pointers in 50.0% of his games this season. Immediately we can see value in these +150 odds, which implies a 40.0% probability.

Miami coughs up 38.0 3PA nightly, good for 15th most in the NBA. On the road, they allowed 39.4 3PA (12th-most). Across their last 10 road games, they have posted a whopping 40.3 3PA (fifth most).

Hachimura scores 1.8 3PM against bottom 11 three-point defenses. He hit at least two triples in 61.5% of games this split (8 of 13).

Rui shoots threes at an amazing 42.6% clip and has had an even bigger green light from downtown since D’Angelo Russell left town. Our NBA projections Expect him to log 1.8 threes in this one, giving more reason to back those +150 odds.

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The above writer is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports bets on FanDuel. The advice given by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author’s advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports bets.