Suns vs Wizards prediction, picks and odds for tonight’s NBA game

The Phoenix Suns head to the nation’s capital on Thursday night to face the Washington Wizards.

Washington has the worst defense in the NBA and my Suns vs. Wizards predictions are betting on Devin Booker taking full advantage. Here are my top free NBA picks for this January 16 showdown.

Suns vs Wizards prediction

My best bet
Devin Booker over 27.5 points (-115 at bet365)

My analysis

The Phoenix Suns are coming off a game against Atlanta where they fell short despite 31 points from Kevin Durant and 35 points from Devin Booker. Bradley Beal is listed as questionable for tonight, while center Jusuf Nurkic has been ruled out, which should mean another high-volume shooting game for Booker.

Booker has taken at least 20 field goal attempts in five straight games, and he went 0-for-8 from deep in the one contest where he scored fewer than 30 points during that span. Booker actually shoots better from long range on the road (39.5% 3PT%) than at home (30.3%), so don’t expect another cold-shooting performance tonight.

The Washington Wizards play at the fourth-fastest pace in the NBA and are dead last in defensive rating. They have allowed a league-worst 122.6 points per game, with that number ticking up to 124.9 ppg over their last 10 contests.

The Wizards are 29th in 3-pointers allowed per game. game (14.7) and number 27 in opponent free throws. That’s bad news against Booker, who attempts 7.9 threes per game. game and is in the top 20th percentile in free throws. Taking over 27.5 points for Booker looks like a no-brainer in this juicy matchup.

Suns vs Wizards parlay in same game

Devin Booker Over 27.5 points

Kevin Durant Over 6.5 rebounds

Carlton Carrington Over 4.5 assists

Add rebounding to the long list of things Washington is terrible at. The Wizards are last in the league in rebound rate (47.8%), and that combined with a fast pace leads to plenty of rebounds for opponents. With Nurkic sidelined, Durant will have more opportunities on the glass and has grabbed eight boards in back-to-back games.

I mentioned how bad Washington’s defense has been, but Phoenix has struggled on that end of the floor as well, ranking 22nd in defensive rating. That will benefit Wizards rookie guard Carlton Carrington, who has dropped 5+ dimes in seven of his last 10 games and is averaging 32.7 mpg over that span.

Learn how to bet on the same game with these helpful tips and strategies.

Suns vs Wizards odds

Suns vs Wizards live odds

Suns vs Wizards opening odds

• Spread: Phoenix -11 | Washington +11
• Moneyline: Phoenix -600 | Washington +450
• Over/Under: Over 232.5 | Below 232.5

Odds provided by bet365

Suns vs Wizards spread and Over/Under analysis

• The Wizards have the worst record in the NBA at 6-32 and have gone 14-23-1 against the spread
• The Suns are 5-9 in their last 14 games and have gone a league-worst 13-25-1 ATS this season.
• The Suns are 0-3 ATS when favored by double digits, while Washington is 8-14-1 ATS as an underdog of 10 or more points.
• The Wizards have gone just 1-15 at home with an average scoring margin of -12.8 ppg.

Suns vs Wizards trend

First Half Over has conceded in 20 of the Suns last 29 games (+9.5 units / 28% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Suns vs. Wizards.

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