Jazz vs Pelicans prediction, picks and odds for tonight’s NBA game

The Pelicans defeated the Jazz 136-123 on Friday, and shorthanded Utah will be back at the Smoothie King Center on Monday for a rematch.

My predictions for Jazz vs. The Pelicans expect Walker Kessler to take advantage of an increased opportunity and hit the glass tonight. Read my NBA picks to see why you should take Over on Kessler’s rebound line.

Jazz vs Pelicans Prediction

My best bet
Walker Kessler Over 11.5 rebounds (-115 at bet365)

My analysis

Walker Kessler is averaging a career-best 11.3 rebounds per game this season, so he’ll have to be just above average in this one to collect that prop. I think he will be outstanding on the glass tonight and cross past that line.

Kessler has been a far better rebounder on the road than at home, pulling down just 10.3 boards at the Delta Center and 12.2 at all other venues. He has hit Over on this line in 10 of 17 on the road, making this a favorable matchup in the Big Easy.

The Utah Jazz big man has a great matchup with a New Orleans Pelicans team that has allowed the fourth-most rebounds (46) to opponents this season. That includes the seventh-most defensive rebounds (34.1) and the fifth-most offensive rebounds (11.9). Kessler leads the association in offensive boards this season at 4.3.

John Collins is out tonight and Kessler has thrived with him on the sideline this season. In 21 games with Collins, Kessler has averaged 10.6 total rebounds and 3.9 offensive rebounds in 28.7 minutes. In 11 games without Collins, Kessler has averaged 12.6 total rebounds and 5.1 offensive rebounds in 31.3 minutes.

Kessler gets a perfect convergence of elite matchup and increased options tonight, making this an easy Over pick.

Jazz vs Pelicans parlay in same game

Walker Kessler Over 11.5 rebounds

Trey Murphy Over 19.5 points

Keyonte George Over 22.5 points

Trey Murphy has been a huge offensive force for New Orleans this season, averaging 21.5 points per game. fight in the career. He has hit the Over in 15 of 27 overall, including seven of 14 at home. He finished with 19 points in Friday’s tilt with Utah after going for at least 20 points in four straight.

Over his last 13, Murphy has averaged 25.2 points and walked 10 times. His point line is set at 22.5, but I’m more comfortable taking shorter odds of 19.5 and adding this to our three-legged.

Four of Utah’s top 5 scorers are out tonight, and the absence of Lauri Markkanen, Collin Sexton, John Collins and Jordan Clarkson leaves 72.4 points on the line. Keyonte George is Utah’s lone healthy offensive force remaining, and he should cruise past that line.

George missed five straight with a heel injury, but has returned rust-free and posted a 26-point effort. Expect him to be given the green light to shoot away.

Learn how to bet on the same game with these helpful tips and strategies.

Jazz vs Pelicans odds

Jazz vs Pelicans live odds

Jazz vs Pelicans opening odds

• Spread: Utah +11 (-110) | New Orleans -11 (-110)
• Moneyline: Utah +450 | New Orleans -600
• Over/Under: Over 232.5 (-110) | Under 232.5 (-110)

Odds provided by bet365

Jazz vs Pelicans spread and Over/Under analysis

• Despite losing five of six, the Jazz have covered the spread four times and the team is 21-19 ATS this season.
• New Orleans has covered five in a row, bringing the team’s ATS record to 19-24.
• The Jazz have hit Over in three straight and in 23 of 40 games in 2024-25.
• The Pelicans have hit the Over in four of five, and the team is 23-19-1 in the Over on the season.

Jazz vs Pelicans trend

New Orleans has won the last three head-to-head games with Utah and covered in two of them. Find more NBA betting trends for Jazz vs. Pelicans.

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