NHL Betting Preview (January 30): Capitals vs. Senators Odds

Join the Daily Faceoffs Andy Macneil as he disability Thursday’s Matchup between the Washington Capitals and the Ottawa senators.

Capitals vs. Senators Odds

  • Washington Capitals Moneyline: -110
  • Ottawa Senators Moneyline: -110
  • Puck Line: Capitals +1.5 (-295), Senators -1.5 (+210)
  • Game Total: 5.5 (Over +110, Under -130)

Play odds via sports interaction.

Handicapping capitals (34-16 SU, 32-18 ATS, 19-28-3 rpm)

Washington heads at Thursday’s meeting against senators looking for his eighth victory in his last nine matches as the capitals end a five-game road trip. While the capitals have won matches with a crazy rate, they have not looked much like a real competitor over the past month.

According to evolving hockey, the capitals rank 19. In even strength, the expected target percentage and 25. The capitals have been completely average offensive, but no team has allowed fewer goals per year. 60 minutes during the last month.

Washington can thank Logan Thompson, who ranks first in goal stored above and saves a percentage since December 30, but Charlie Lindgren has also been good. Lindgren ranks 10. In goals stored above expected over the past month, and fifth in the savings percentage, but he has not had much playing time, with only five starts in January.

Head coach Spencer Carbery had alternated between Thompson and Lindgren until earlier this month when he began to ride on Thompson due to Lindgren’s injury. That said, while the 27-year-old has clearly been the better one of the two, and deserves to start most of the matches, I expect Lindgren to be between the pipes on Thursday now that he is back to full health.

Handicapping Senators (26-24 SU, 21-29 ATS, 14-30-6 O/U)

Ottawa started its four-match home with victories over the Toronto Maple Leafs and Utah Hockey Club. Now the senators return from a three-day break and are looking for their third win in a row. The senators are 14-7-2 at home this season and they have gone 9-3 right up at home since they lost five home matches in mid-November.

Anton Forsberg will be in the fold Thursday, marking his fourth start in the last six games. Forsberg had an incredibly tough start to the season and went 4-8-1 with a goal against an average of 3.10 and a savings percentage of .883, but since January 10 he is 2-1-0 while putting a 1, 70 gaa and a .935 SV%.

However, the senators have not looked good for once strength over the past month and ranked 21. In the expected target percentage, 23. In shooting trial percentage and 32. No team has scored fewer goals per 60 minutes on smooth strength than Ottawa has over the past month, but they have been able to play .500 hockey thanks to solid defense and goals. The senators rank 10. In expected targets against and 12. In goals against per. 60 minutes ago December 30th.

Their fight on the power game has also not helped, as Ottawa has converted at only 12.8 percent of their power playing options over the past month, but once again they have been good on the defensive side of things. Ottawa ranks ninth on penalties with an 82.5 success rate over the past month.

Best efforts for capitals against senators

  • 3-way result: regular time binding (+300) by sports interaction

Five out of the last 10 meetings between capitals and senators have gone to extra time, including the last game on January 16, which Washington won 1-0 on an Alex Ovechkin goal of overtime. Both teams tend strongly against this season, especially from late, and therefore this should be another closely disputed matchup.

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