Grizzlies vs. Spurs Prediction, Odds and Best NBA Prop Bets for Friday, January 17th

The Grizzlies and Spurs meet for the second time this week on the heels of a double-digit Memphis win Wednesday night.

In what could be a postseason effort, the Grizzlies will look to assert their dominance over the upstart Spurs, who are paced by the ever-exciting Victor Wembanyama. However, the team ran into a buzzsaw in the Grizzlies, who look like a bona fide contender this season with the return of Ja Morant and a deep roster that has the team small on both sides of the floor.

With that in mind, the Grizz are a slight favorite on the road as the team looks to take both on the road this week. Is it justified?

Here is our betting preview.

Spread

Moneyline

Total: 239 (Over -110/Under -110)

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook

Grizzlies Team Injury Report

Spurs Team Injury Report

Memphis Grizzlies

Jaren Jackson Jr. OVER 1.5 Three Pointers Made

JJJ has taken a leap this season. The forward has already won the award as Defensive Player of the Year and is now also an elite offensive player. Always dangerous from beyond the arc, Jackson will be overlooked on Friday after making two of his eight three-point attempts against the Spurs on Wednesday.

He’s shooting 29% from distance this month, but his volume remains steady at around five per game. match. With a matchup that will yield even more three-point attempts, I’d bet on JJJ hitting a few.

San Antonio Spurs

Stephon Castle UNDER 15.5 points

Castle is a bit of a warmer, scoring 49 points over the last two games on a massive increase in minutes, playing at least 33 minutes in each. However, I don’t expect Castle to have 37 field goal attempts over the last two games.

The rookie is talented and has shown he can create his own shot, but with a second straight game against an elite defense, I’ll fade him with adjustments on the Grizz side.

Castle is only shooting 39% from the field this season, so he’ll need a ton of volume to get over that mark, which I’ll need to see more of before jumping on board. I dampen the latest scoring outburst.

After the first game went over the total, I’d bet on a natural regression for this game to stay under the high mark.

It’s a scary thought considering the Grizzlies are playing at the fastest pace in the NBA this season, but looking back at Wednesday’s game, the total snuck up in large part because of the 78-point second half from Memphis on way to the double-digit victory.

Now, this game will feature plenty of possessions, and the Spurs defense is about average in the league, but we have a sample of one game that proved this game needed plenty of help to handle a sky-high total, which I can’t trust for the second game in a row.

In Wednesday’s tilt, the two teams combined to shoot 32-for-81 (39%) from beyond the arc. While Memphis is 10th in three-point percentage this season, the Spurs are 23rd, another sign that it feels like the total remains inflated heading into this one.

This is also reflected in the betting market, with the total down a point from Wednesday’s close of 240. I’ll follow the money and go under in the second straight meeting for each team.

SELECT: UNDER 239

The odds are updated regularly and are subject to change.

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