2024 NFL Divisional Betting – Sunday Odds, Analysis, Picks & Trends

Sunday’s NFL divisional round features a pair of matchups between teams that met in the regular season.

The Los Angeles Rams visit the Philadelphia Eagles to start the day. The Eagles defeated the Rams 37-20 when the teams met in Los Angeles in Week 12.

A massive matchup between the Buffalo Bills and Baltimore Ravens follows. The Ravens cruised to a 35-10 victory over the Bills when they played in Week 4.

We break down both games and offer lines, props, picks, trends and more to help you prepare for any betting opportunities.

Odds current as of time of publication, courtesy of ESPN BET

Saquon Barkley set single-game Eagles franchise records in rushing (255) and scrimmage yards (302) and scored twice when these teams met in Week 12

The Eagles have won their last eight home games, including a 22-10 wild-card win against the Green Bay Packers last week. Philadelphia has been particularly tough at home in the playoffs, having allowed 10 points or less in five of their last six games as the host team (five wins).

The Rams are 6-1 since losing to the Eagles in Week 12, including last week’s 27-9 wild-card triumph over the Minnesota Vikings. Their lone loss came in Week 18 when they rested key offensive starters against the Seattle Seahawks.

Kickoff for Sunday’s game is scheduled for 3:00 PM ET on NBC/Peacock.

Game lines

Spread: Eagles -6.5 (open Eagles -6)
Money line: Eagles -275, Rams +225
Over/Under: 42.5 (opened 45.5)

Notice in the first half: Eagles -3.5 (-110), Rams +3.5 (-110)
Eagles total points: 24.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
Rams total points: 17.5 (Over -115/Under -115)

Matchup prediction (by ESPN analytics): Eagles 65% chance to win (by 6)

Player props

Passed

Jalen hurts everything that passes yards: 199.5 (Over -135/Under +105)
Hurt Total TDs Passed: 1.5 (Over +125/Under -165)
Matthew Stafford Total Passing Yards: 224.5 (Over -120/Under -110)
Stafford Total Passing TDs: 1.5 (Over +120/Under -160)

Hating

Saquon Barkley total rushing yards: 99.5 (Over -155/Under +120)
Kyren Williams total rushing yards: 69.5 (Over -135/Under +105)
Hurts Total Rushing Yards: 39.5 (Over -105/Under -125)

Receiver

Puka Nacua Total Receiving Yards: 89.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
AJ Brown Total Receiving Yards: 69.5 (Over -120/Under -110)
DeVonta Smith Total Receiving Yards: 59.5 (Over +105/Under -135)
Cooper Kupp Total Receiving Yards: 44.5 (Over +100/Under -130)
Dallas Goedert Total Receiving Yards: 39.5 (Over +100/Under -130)
Demarcus Robinson Total Receiving Yards: 19.5 (Over -125/Under -105)

Props that pop

Dallas Goedert OVER 39.5 receiving yards (straight)

Liz Loza: The Rams defense put in a masterful effort in the wild-card round, limiting the Minnesota Vikings to nine points. LA’s young pass rush rose up and regularly pressured Sam Darnold, protecting the team’s secondary from potential exposure. However, the Rams are unlikely to have the same success as Jalen Hurts and the electric Eagles offense. While that should leave room for Philly’s wide receivers to shine, players should also expect Goedert to be involved.

LA has struggled against opposing tight ends all season, giving up the third-most catches (6.2 per game) and fourth-most receiving yards (65.7 per game) to the position. Despite the Rams’ success last Monday, TJ Hockenson converted all five of his looks for 64 receiving yards and Minnesota’s lone TD. Ranked fifth in yards per game. targets (9.5) and seventh among TEs in yards per carry. reception (11.8), Goedert does not need to be fed in order to fly. Averaging over four catches and nearly 50 receiving yards per game, the 30-year-old will flirt with four catches and forty yards on Sunday.

Betting trends and much more

Courtesy of ESPN Research

• Philadelphia finished the regular season 14-3, matching the 2022 team for most wins in a season in franchise history (lost in Super Bowl LVII to the Chiefs); The Eagles have reached the Super Bowl in the previous three seasons in which they have won at least 13 games (2004, 2017, 2022).

• The Eagles rank first in opponent PPG (17.4), opponent YPG (279.7) and opponent yards per play (4.8) this season, including the playoffs. They have allowed 13 or fewer points in three straight games for the first time since 2017 (won the Super Bowl that season).

• Jalen Hurts is 3-3 with seven passing TDs and five rushing TDs in six career playoff starts. He is one win shy of matching Nick Foles for the second-most playoff wins by an Eagles QB in franchise history (Donovan McNabb holds the record with nine).

• The Rams are 4-1 ATS (3-2 SU) in road playoff games under head coach Sean McVay since 2018. Los Angeles has averaged 25.4 PPG in those five games

• Matthew Stafford is 5-1 with 13 passing TDS, a 72.5 total QBR and 70% completion percentage in six career starts with the Rams (since 2021). He has thrown multiple passing TDs in all six games (first player in NFL history with multiple passing TDs in each of his first six playoff games with a franchise).

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Josh Allen (-500) and Lamar Jackson (+350) finished the regular season as the top two favorites to win the MVP. If they finish 1-2 in MVP voting, it would be the first time the top two MVP vote-getters met in the divisional round or earlier since 1995, when Brett Favre and the Green Bay Packers beat Jerry Rice and the San Francisco 49ers.

Ravens running back Derrick Henry had a season-high 199 rushing yards against the Bills when these teams met in Week 4, the largest rushing total by any player against the Bills since Sean McDermott became Buffalo’s head coach in 2017.

The Ravens fell 17-10 to the eventual champion Kansas City Chiefs in last year’s AFC title game. The Bills lost 27-24 to the Chiefs in the divisional round.

Sunday’s kickoff is scheduled for 6:30 PM ET on CBS/Paramount+.

Game lines

Spread: Ravens -1 (open bills -1)
Money line: Ravens -125, Bills +105
Over/Under: 51.5 (open 51.5)

Notice in the first half: Bills -0.5 (+1-5), Ravens +0.5 (-130)
Total points of invoices: 25.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
Ravens total points: 25.5 (Over -120/Under -110)

Matchup prediction (by ESPN analytics): Ravens 50% chance to win (by 0.2)

Player props

Passed

Josh Allen Total Passing Yards: 249.5 (Over +110/Under -140)
Allen Total Passing TDs: 1.5 (Over -120/Under -110)
Lamar Jackson Total Passing Yards: 224.5 (Over -120/Under -110)
Jackson Total Passing TDs: 1.5 (Over -115/Under -115)

Hating

Derrick Henry total rushing yards: 99.5 (Over +100/Under -130)
James Cook total rushing yards: 59.5 (Over +110/Under -140)
Allen total rushing yards: 49.5 (Over +105/Under -135)
Jackson total rushing yards: 49.5 (Over -135/Under +105)

Receiver

Khalil Shakir Total Yards: 49.5 (Over -130/Under +100)
Mark Andrews Total Receiving Yards: 39.5 (Over +100/Under -130)
Isaiah’s Probable Total Yards: 34.5 (Over -120/Under -110)
Dalton Kincaid Total Receiving Yards: 29.5 (Over -135/Under +105)
Keon Coleman Total Receiving Yards: 24.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
Amari Cooper Total Receiving Yards: 24.5 (Over +105/Under -135)

Props that pop

Lamar Jackson OVER 49.5 rushing yards

Daniel Dopp: Lamar Jackson has been the best rushing QB in the NFL this year, amassing 915 rushing yards on the ground in the regular season and adding 81 more yards in last week’s wild-card win over the Pittsburgh Steelers. Lamar has averaged at least 63 rushing yards in three straight games and five of its last six.

The Bills have actually been pretty decent against the run this year, but Jackson is in a different category than any other player in the NFL when it comes to running the ball. He is a true wizard when scrambling, especially when a play breaks down and improvises. I wouldn’t go lower than -140 if I took this bet, and I would definitely consider pairing this with a 275+ passing yard pass stopper. When you put the two props together it creates a nice little two-legged parlay at +163.

Betting trends and much more

Courtesy of ESPN Research

• This will be the second playoff meeting between the Ravens and Bills (Bills defeated Ravens 17-3 in 2020 divisional round Buffalo). The Ravens’ three points in that game are their fewest in any game started by Lamar Jackson in his career (regular season and playoffs).

• Sunday’s game will be the seventh in NFL postseason history between two teams that both averaged 30 PPG during the regular season, and just the second such game to occur before the conference championship (Tampa Bay Buccaneers defeated New Orleans Saints in the 2020 division playoffs).

• The Bills and Ravens both had +157 point differentials in the regular season (best in the AFC). It will be the seventh matchup in NFL postseason history between teams tied for points in the regular season and the first since Super Bowl LII between the Philadelphia Eagles and New England Patriots in the 2017 season.

• Sunday’s matchup will be the first playoff game in NFL history with two players (Josh Allen and Lamar Jackson) with 40 passing/rushing TDs and fewer than 10 turnovers (regular season and playoffs).

• Allen has the most rushing yards by a QB in NFL postseason history (609), and Jackson has the second most (602).

• The Ravens are looking to win consecutive playoff games for the first time with Jackson as their starting QB. The last time the Ravens won back-to-back playoff games was from 2012-14 (five in a row, with four of those wins coming in 2012 when they won the Super Bowl).

• The Ravens had 299 rushing yards in their wild-card win over the Pittsburgh Steelers (franchise postseason record), their franchise-best fourth straight game with 200 rushing yards. in the last 40 postseasons, the only team with 200 rushing yards in consecutive games is the 2019 Titans – who also had Derrick Henry.

• Since Week 11, the Ravens defense ranks first in the NFL in PPG (15.3), YPG (264.0) and Total QBR (38). From Weeks 1-10, the Ravens defense ranked 25th in PPG (25.3), 27th in YPG (367.9) and 31st in Total QBR (67).

• Henry is averaging 114.8 rushing YPG in his playoff career, the second-highest mark in NFL postseason history (min. five games), trailing only Terrell Davis.

• The Bills are seeking their second conference championship appearance in the last 30 seasons (lost 38-24 at Kansas City in 2020).

• The Bills’ 25-point loss at the Ravens in Week 4 is the third-largest loss in any game started by Allen in his career (regular season and playoffs) and his worst loss since 2021. The Bills had season lows in points (10 points) and yards (236).

• The Bills are 9-0 at home this season, including the playoffs (33.9 PPG). A win would tie their most home wins in a season in franchise history (regular season and playoffs), along with the 1990 season (reached the Super Bowl but lost).

• Buffalo is 1-4 in divisional playoff/conference championship games with Allen as their starting QB (22.2 PPG, 27.4 PPG allowed). They are 5-1 in the wild-card playoffs (31.5 PPG, 19.7 PPG allowed).

• The Bills are currently 1 point underdogs going into Sunday’s game. Including the playoffs, the Bills have been favored in 42 consecutive home games, the longest active streak in the NFL (last game as a home underdog was 2020 Week 17 vs. Miami Dolphins, a game the Bills won 56–26 as a 3-point underdog).

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